Connecticut
W-L: (30-10) PR = 96.8180Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 0- 3 926 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 1- 2 927 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 2- 1 1003 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 0- 2 1004 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 3- 2 1017 H Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 2- 1 1018 H Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 3- 0 1024 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 1- 1 1025 A Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 1101 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 4- 3 1102 A Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 3- 2 1107 A Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 3- 1 1108 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 1- 2 1121 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 4- 0 1122 H Vermont E (16-20, 94.7) 6- 3 1128 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 4- 3 1128 H Stonehill EWHA (18-20, 93.6) 6- 1 1129 H Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 3- 2 1129 H Mercyhurst TL (21-11, 96.1) 5- 0 1205 H Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 1- 1 1206 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 3- 2 102 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 4- 1 103 H Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 5- 0 109 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 110 A Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 4- 3 115 H Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 8- 1 116 A Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 1- 2 124 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 0- 1 125 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4 130 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 1- 0 131 H New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 3 206 A Providence E (12-25, 93.9) 2- 1 207 H Boston College E (17-19, 94.7) 6- 2 213 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 5- 1 214 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 2- 0 220 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 3 221 H Merrimack E ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 3 228 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 6- 1 303 H Holy Cross E (19-13, 94.8) 6- 1 307 A Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 2- 1 312 N Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 4- 1 314 A Penn State TL (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 A Quinnipiac 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.95
926 H St. Cloud State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.70
927 H St. Cloud State 2- 1 1 1 0.30
1003 A Clarkson 0- 2 -2 0 -1.87
1004 A Clarkson 3- 2 1 0 1.13
1017 H Princeton 2- 1 1 0 0.68
1018 H Princeton 3- 0 3 0 + 2.68
1024 A Mercyhurst 1- 1 0 0 -0.35
1025 A Mercyhurst 4- 3 1 0 0.65
1101 H Holy Cross 4- 3 1 2 -1.36
1102 A Holy Cross 3- 2 1 2 -0.58
1107 A Boston College 3- 1 2 2 0.31
1108 H Boston College 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.47
1121 H Vermont 4- 0 4 3 1.45
1122 H Vermont 6- 3 3 3 0.45
1128 H Quinnipiac 4- 3 1 0 1.27
1128 H Stonehill 6- 1 5 4 1.39
1129 H Yale 3- 2 1 0 0.76
1129 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.86
1205 H Boston University 1- 1 0 3 - -2.95
1206 A Boston University 3- 2 1 2 -1.16
102 A Providence 4- 1 3 3 0.45
103 H Providence 5- 0 5 3 1.67
109 A Maine 2- 1 1 2 -0.91
110 A Maine 4- 3 1 2 -0.91
115 H Merrimack 8- 1 7 4 + 3.16
116 A Merrimack 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.05
125 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.63
131 H New Hampshire 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.00
206 A Providence 2- 1 1 3 -1.55
207 H Boston College 6- 2 4 2 1.53
213 A New Hampshire 5- 1 4 1 + 2.78
214 A Boston University 2- 0 2 2 -0.16
220 H Northeastern 2- 3 -1 1 -1.63
221 H Merrimack 5- 3 2 4 -1.84
228 H Maine 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31
303 H Holy Cross 6- 1 5 2 + 2.64
307 A Northeastern 2- 1 1 0 1.15
312 N Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 3.07
314 A Penn State 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.61
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 116 A Merrimack 1- 2 -1 3 -- -4.05 1108 H Boston College 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.47 1205 H Boston University 1- 1 0 3 - -2.95 125 H Northeastern 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.63 131 H New Hampshire 2- 3 -1 2 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Princeton 3- 0 3 0 + 2.68 1129 H Mercyhurst 5- 0 5 1 + 3.86 115 H Merrimack 8- 1 7 4 + 3.16 213 A New Hampshire 5- 1 4 1 + 2.78 228 H Maine 6- 1 5 3 + 2.31 303 H Holy Cross 6- 1 5 2 + 2.64 312 N Princeton 4- 1 3 0 + 3.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 0- 3 -2.42 5.58 0.39 0.87 -0.89
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 1- 2 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.87 -1.65
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.87 7.37
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 0- 2 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.87 -1.29
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.87 8.81
3 H Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 2- 1 -3.01 4.99 -0.39 0.87 8.02
3 H Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 3- 0 -3.01 4.99 -0.39 0.87 8.02
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 1- 1 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.87 0.00
3 A Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 4- 3 -3.83 4.17 0.39 0.87 7.97
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.87 4.46
3 A Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 3- 2 -5.05 2.95 0.39 0.87 5.83
3 A Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.16 2.84 0.39 0.87 5.64
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 1- 2 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.87 -2.42
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 4- 0 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.87 4.13
3 H Vermont (16-20, 94.7) 6- 3 -5.24 2.76 -0.39 0.87 4.13
3 H Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 4- 3 -2.42 5.58 -0.39 0.87 9.04
3 H Stonehill (18-20, 93.6) 6- 1 -6.30 1.70 -0.39 0.87 2.28
3 H Yale (26-10, 97.0) 3- 2 -2.92 5.08 -0.39 0.87 8.17
3 H Mercyhurst (21-11, 96.1) 5- 0 -3.83 4.17 -0.39 0.87 6.60
3 H Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 1- 1 -5.64 2.37 -0.39 0.87 0.00
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 3- 2 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.87 4.81
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 4- 1 -6.02 1.98 0.39 0.87 4.14
3 H Providence (12-25, 93.9) 5- 0 -6.02 1.98 -0.39 0.87 2.77
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 2- 1 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.87 5.25
3 A Maine (12-21, 94.5) 4- 3 -5.38 2.62 0.39 0.87 5.25
3 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 8- 1 -6.52 1.48 -0.39 0.87 1.89
3 A Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 1- 2 -6.52 1.48 0.39 0.87 -2.67
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 0- 1 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.87 -1.62
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 4 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.87 -1.62
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 1- 0 -4.69 3.31 0.39 0.87 6.46
3 H New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 3 -4.69 3.31 -0.39 0.87 -2.22
3 A Providence (12-25, 93.9) 2- 1 -6.02 1.98 0.39 0.87 4.14
3 H Boston College (17-19, 94.7) 6- 2 -5.16 2.84 -0.39 0.87 4.27
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 5- 1 -4.69 3.31 0.39 0.87 6.46
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 2- 0 -5.64 2.37 0.39 0.87 4.81
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 0.87 -1.62
3 H Merrimack ( 7-25, 93.4) 5- 3 -6.52 1.48 -0.39 0.87 1.89
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 6- 1 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 0.87 3.88
3 H Holy Cross (19-13, 94.8) 6- 1 -5.05 2.95 -0.39 0.87 4.46
3 A Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.32 4.68 0.39 0.87 8.84
3 N Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 4- 1 -3.01 4.99 -0.00 0.87 8.70
3 A Penn State (35- 7, 97.8) 0- 3 -2.08 5.92 0.39 0.87 -0.74
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151.77
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winning pts = 168.5001 losing points = -16.7295
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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